Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.930660e-05 0.000117 0.000137 0.000158 0.000182 0.000208 0.000237
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.461748e-05 0.000098 0.000124 0.000155 0.000192 0.000232 0.000279
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.026002e-05 0.000085 0.000115 0.000152 0.000196 0.000246 0.000307
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.970660e-05 0.000076 0.000109 0.000151 0.000203 0.000264 0.000339
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.294258e-05 0.000070 0.000106 0.000153 0.000212 0.000282 0.000369
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.599476e-05 0.000064 0.000101 0.000151 0.000217 0.000295 0.000396
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.913833e-05 0.000056 0.000093 0.000146 0.000216 0.000301 0.000411
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.539719e-05 0.000052 0.000091 0.000148 0.000223 0.000317 0.000440
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.004465e-05 0.000045 0.000084 0.000141 0.000220 0.000319 0.000451
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.756568e-05 0.000043 0.000082 0.000143 0.000227 0.000335 0.000479
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.482112e-05 0.000039 0.000079 0.000142 0.000230 0.000345 0.000500
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.362531e-05 0.000038 0.000080 0.000146 0.000241 0.000366 0.000534
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.099069e-05 0.000035 0.000077 0.000145 0.000245 0.000379 0.000561
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.296066e-06 0.000030 0.000071 0.000141 0.000245 0.000386 0.000581
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.386145e-06 0.000027 0.000068 0.000139 0.000247 0.000396 0.000603
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.947340e-06 0.000024 0.000065 0.000138 0.000251 0.000408 0.000629
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.067915e-06 0.000023 0.000064 0.000139 0.000259 0.000425 0.000661
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.042149e-06 0.000020 0.000061 0.000138 0.000261 0.000436 0.000685
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.029549e-06 0.000017 0.000056 0.000133 0.000259 0.000439 0.000699
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.571997e-06 0.000016 0.000055 0.000134 0.000265 0.000455 0.000730
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 9.043374e-07 0.000013 0.000050 0.000128 0.000261 0.000454 0.000738
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 6.667310e-07 0.000012 0.000050 0.000130 0.000267 0.000470 0.000769
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 4.222161e-07 0.000011 0.000048 0.000129 0.000270 0.000481 0.000793